Jon Denton & Dave make plays on Lakers/Warriors State Farm Play-In game
Dave Carney 5/19/2021
What’s on the table today?: Jon Denton and Dave Carney make plays on the Lakers vs Warriors in the State Farm Play-In Tournament.
Tonight the Golden State Warriors and host Los Angeles Lakers will add a new chapter to their 72-year rivalry when they square off in an NBA play-in game Wednesday night at Staples Center.
The Warriors won a tie-breaker on the court Sunday over the Memphis Grizzlies to place eighth in the Western Conference, while the Lakers lost a season-series tie-breaker to Portland to land seventh, creating the all-California pairing in the West’s first-ever 7-8 play-in matchup.
The winner will advance into the Western Conference playoffs main draw as the No. 7 seed and face the Phoenix Suns in the first round.
The loser also will have a chance to make the playoffs, but would have to win at home on Friday against the winner of Wednesday’s 9-10 duel between the Memphis Grizzlies and San Antonio Spurs in order to move on and meet the top-seeded Utah Jazz.
This morning on-air, Jon Denton (former UNLV superstar QB now our Sports Betting Insider) and I came up with our plays for tonight’s game, taking stabs at Player Prop bets, the Over/Under, and a play ATS (against the spread).
If you missed out on Jon and I on-air this morning going over all these particulars, here are the plays that we’ve made, in no specific order:
Dave’s plays for Lakers (-5) vs Warriors / total 219 ½
- UNDER the total of 219 ½
- Under is 7-1 in Lakers last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.** LA beat the Pels 110-98 in the regular season finale.
- Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games as a road underdog
- Player Prop: Andre Drummond OVER 10+ rebounds (-180)
- Drummond averages 12 rebounds a game for the season, and has gone OVER 10 rebounds in each of his last 5 games. Yes, I’m laying a bit heavy here, paying $1.80 to win $1.00, but this looks like a really solid play that should cash
Jon’s plays for the Lakers (-5) vs Warriors / total 219 ½
- Lakers (-5)
- The Lakers are only 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall, however, Jon see’s this Lakers team as having too much firepower for GS, and does think the Lakers cruise to a W.
- Anthony Davis (Lakers) getting a double-double, AND, the Lakers win (+172)
- Davis averages nearly 10 boards a night, and Jon’s taking the Lakers to win, so this bet presents some great value at (+172). If this ticket cashes, Jon’s in line for a nice payout.
- Andrew Wiggings (Warriors) UNDER 20 ½ points (-110)
- Another solid play at only (-110). Wiggins is averaging nearly 19 a game on the season, but the Lakers are the 2nd best rated defensive team in the league, will be playing with their hair on fire to nab the 7th seed, and will shut Wiggins out. If WIggins scores more than 10, I’ll be surprised.
Tip-off for tonight’s game on ESPN will be 9pm (CT). Enjoy and good luck!!
**For more info on TOTAL plays, OVER/UNDER, and PLUS/MINUS plays, TEASER cards and more, check back through some previous columns for detailed information**
REMEMBER – don’t bet based upon my recommendations. Do your research. Stay in your lane
