Jon Denton Special (CFB Bowl games + Packers/Browns)

Dave Carney 12/23/2021      

What’s on the table today?: Jon Denton Special (Bowl Weekend Plays & Packers/Browns)

Another BIG weekend of College Football Bowl games and our sports betting insider Jon Denton has lined us up with another slate of plays in this weeks’ “Jon Denton Special”.

Over the past 6 weeks the “JDS” is hitting at a clip of 27-13 (67.5%) so you need to pay extra special attention to the picks this week and sign up with the official sports book partner of the WKTY Morning Show (BetUS) and use the promo code WKTY on sign up. When you use the promo code WKTY you’ll have your initial deposit matched by 125% in FREE money.

Merry Christmas from all of the contributors on the WKTY Morning Show – and happy betting!

Jon Denton Special (College Bowl Plays & Packers/Browns)

Hawaii Bowl 12/24

MEMPHIS -8 vs Hawaii 

• Serious issue w/ Hawaii HC / Revolting Players / Transfer Portal Entries

• “Killed our love and passion for football” = player quotes

• 2 of HAWAII’s W’s vs. NMSU + 1 W vs Portland St (FCS)

• Starting QB/RB in TRX portal

• MEMPHIS opened -4.5   –   MEMPHIS now -8

Frisco FB Classic 12/23

Texas / Miami-Ohio – OVER 54.5

Expect both offenses to find success in this bowl game!!

• DeAndre Torrey leads North Texas with 1,255 rushing yards

• 2 other NT RB’s combine for over 1,000 yds. on 5.9 ypc

• N. Texas DEFENSE rated 95th in YPPassA (7.9yppa)

• Miami-Ohio has 2 WR’s with over 2K REC yds total

• Brett Gilbert (M-O) = 297 ypg passing / 32.1 PPG

• Miami-Ohio scored 26 points against Minnesota, (#4 in total D)

• Miami = 39.8 ppg L4
• N. Texas = 45 ppg L2
• Expect both offenses to find success in this bowl game!!

Guaranteed Rate Bowl 12/28

Virginia vs Minnesota -4.5

• W. Virginia STUD RB opted-out = 2/3 of RB production gone

• Rob Vent made his Power Line of Minn -2.5 & with Opt-Out you get “conditional” value added

• Minnesota just hired an Off analyst from WVU – Insider Trading (Kirk Scirocco – at MINN previously/Fleck faithful)

• MINN = 69.3% Run Plays (4.2 YPC)

• WVU allowed more than 4 yards per rush in 5 games

• When MINN gets over 4.0 YPC = 5-0-1 ATS 

TaxAct Camellia Bowl 12/25

Ga. State (-6) vs. Ball State

• Opened GAST -3.5.  –    GAST -6 current

• Betting on teams that finished in the Top 10 for RYPG over the last 10 years: = 50-28 (64.1%)

• GAST = 8th RYPG (224 ypg)

• Ball St = 92nd RYPG Defense

• GAST Panthers are 5-0 ATS L5 after allowing <20 points in their previous game

First Responder Bowl 12/28

Louisville vs Air Force -1.5

• Air Force is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 non-conference games

• Air Force 3 LOSSES to Bowl Teams – ARMY, SDSU, USU

• Air Force Ranks 20th Pass D / 7th Run D

• Louisville got Malik Cunningham boost / 2 of Top 4 WR’s entered TRX portal

• Louisville vs GOOD DEF = 19.3 PPG (31 PPG vs BAD DEF)

• Louisville LOST L3/5 – 2 WINS vs DUKE & SYRACUSE (meh) 

• Louisville DEF ranks 84th in YPG

• Betting on teams that finished in the Top 10 for RYPG over the last 10 years: = 50-28 (64.1%)

NFL Football 12/25

Cleveland @ Green Bay – UNDER 44.5

Cleveland hurting on personnel side of things

Run Game Heavy – Key to Less Aaron Rogers

Bosa & Company will focus on Run Game for CLE

SF 3rd String RB gained 100+ yds last game out

Committed to Run Game + Def = Under