Dave Carney 10/21/2021
What’s on the table today?: Jon Denton Special (NFL Week 7 & CFB Week 8)
This morning, not only did Jon Denton (our Sports Betting Insider) crush it on-air as he’s accustomed to, he also CRUSHED it on the research delivering to us a very tasty set of plays in College Football and the NFL.
If you missed out on hearing Jon on the program today, take a listen to the audio attached, and for all of the trends, stats and analysis, take a gander below.
Good luck and enjoy!
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CFB TRENDS & ANALYSIS –
- TEAMS OFF A “POOR” OFFENSIVE GAME
- SINCE 2014 (OVER 200 GAME SAMPLE SIZE)
- HOME FAVORITES TW that scored 9 points or LESS LW
- 62% ATS (124-75-5)
- 2 TEAMS FIT – (VATECH, WYO)
- TEAMS OFF A “GREAT” OFFENSIVE GAME
- SINCE 2005 (OVER 700 GAMES)
- HOME FAVORITES this week that scored 50 points or MORE LW = 44% ATS
- Fade GA STATE (TEXAS St. in a 66% reverse ATS situation)
- HOME DOGS this week that scored 50 points or MORE LW = 59.8% ATS
- WEATHER IS A FACTOR!!!
- SINCE 2012
- +15 mph WINDS = 58% TO THE UNDER
- SEPT – 59%
- OCT – 56%
- NOV – 58%
- DEC – 61%
(3) CFB PICKS
VA TECH -3
HOME FAVORITES TW that scored 9 points or LESS LW = 62% ATS (124-75-5)
TEXAS ST. +10.5
They fit our above system plus Bobcats are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
NC STATE/MIAMI OVER 53 – both teams average in the mid-30’s…NC State OFF is rolling after scoring 50+ against a decent BC defense…Miami’s 46th ranked OFF vs NCSt 77th ranked DEF will give MIAMI some scoring opportunities
NFL TRENDS & ANALYSIS
(2) NFL PICKS
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- Did you Know that s/2014 NFL Favs of 14 or more are:
- 21-9 ATS 70% & 10-19-1 O/U (65.5% to Under)!
- LARams -15.5 (50.5) / ARZ -17 (47.5)
- Did you Know that s/2014 NFL Favs of 14 or more are:
- LARAMS under 50.5
- If you bet the Bears UNDER 1Q / 1H / FGAME you are
- 16-2 (89%) for the season & 15-0 the last five weeks!!!
- TB/CHI 1ST HALF UNDER 24
**For more info on TOTAL plays, OVER/UNDER, and PLUS/MINUS plays, TEASER cards and more, check back through some previous columns for detailed information**
REMEMBER – don’t bet based upon our recommendations. Do your research. Stay in your lane