Dave Carney 3/29/2021
What’s on the table today?: Elite Eight Betting Preview
This weekend it was another dose of upset city in Indy as the #12 Oregon State Beavers got past a listless and lifeless Loyola of Chicago, #11 UCLA outlasted #2 Alabama, and #15 Oral Roberts NEARLY got the best of #3 Arkansas.
March Madness has truly held up to its name, and today with the tip-off of the Elite Eight, it looks like that ‘madness’ is going to continue. With that in mind, let’s take a look at the four match-ups in the Elite Eight and see what the numbers and trends are telling us thanks to info from VSIN.com and Covers.com. I’ve also included in RED my thoughts on each game, so good luck and have fun!
Monday 3/29/21
- #12 ORE St vs #2 Houston (-7 ½) total 129 (I like ORE St to cover +7 ½; another good play would be on the UNDER. I see a real slug-fest here.)
- Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Beavers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog.
- Beavers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Beavers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
- Beavers are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- #3 Arkansas vs #1 Baylor (-7 ½) total 148 ½ (Take Baylor v Arkansas UNDER)
- Under is 5-0 in Razorbacks last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Razorbacks last 4 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 4-0 in Razorbacks last 4 neutral site games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Razorbacks last 5 Monday games.
- Under is 5-0 in Razorbacks last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
- Under is 8-0 in Razorbacks last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Razorbacks last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Tuesday 3/30/21
- #6 USC vs #1 Gonzaga (-9) total 153 ½ (I like the Zags minus the points, but I’d play the OVER)
- Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite.
- Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
- Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
- #11 UCLA vs #1 Michigan (-7 ½ ) total 136 ½ (I’m playing UCLA +7 ½ – I think MICH will win, but it’ll be close)
- Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games.
- Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
**For more info on TOTAL plays, OVER/UNDER, and PLUS/MINUS plays, TEASER cards and more, check back through some previous columns for detailed information**
REMEMBER – don’t bet based upon my recommendations. Do your research. Stay in your lane
