Dave Carney 1/4/2021
Overall record: (0-0 in 2021) / (110-90 in 2020)
How did I get here?: With a new year comes a new, fresh, 0-0 record! I ended 2020 with a loss on a Four-Team-Teaser thanks to Clemson and their inability to show up and COVER, especially considering all that trash that Clemson coach Dabo Swinney was throwing at OSU.
The Buckeyes win however was the only game in the Four-Teamer that did NOT come in. Notre Dame didn’t lose by 26, that was a cover. The Steelers didn’t lose by 15.5, that was a cover, and the Packers 35-16 win over the Bears easily covered the (+1) spread we had on our Teaser card.
Alas, as we talked about on Friday, if you lose one game on a parlay, or a teaser, you’ve lost the whole bet.
Thanks a lot Clemson, better luck next year WITHOUT a projected number one NFL draft pick.
**For more info on TOTAL plays, OVER/UNDER, and PLUS/MINUS plays, TEASER cards and more, check back through some previous columns for detailed information**
What’s on the table today?: A delicious offering at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee!
Jumping all-over a line that this morning had the Bucks favored by just 13.5 points (-13.5) feels like a real win with the line bet all the way down to the Bucks (-16), meaning tons of money is coming in on Milwaukee at the time of this writing.
The Bucks are 3-3 but BLEW out the Bulls on Friday 126-96, and Giannis is returning to form. Khris Middelton is playing some exceptional basketball, and Jrue Holiday has been solid, figuring out just how he’ll fit onto this team.
Detroit is in a MUCH different place, starting off the season 1-4, and again dealing with a rash of injuries starting with their star Blake Griffin who’s listed as day to day with a concussion, and Josh Jackson who’s also listed as day to day. The Pistons aren’t much of an offensive juggernaut even at full strength, but without players at their physical peak they are going to struggle tonight against Milwaukee’s defense.
I realize that the NBA season is early, but trends are always important to me when making predictions. Some of these numbers from Covers.com do include last season, but I think they describe some fairly accurate trends for both teams, and they all favor the Bucks.
- Pistons are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Monday games.
- Pistons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Bucks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Bucks are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest.
Perhaps it’s the FAN in me that’s taking the Bucks in my first “Daily Play” of the new year, but I really do like the odds for Milwaukee to cover the (-13.5) spread I got this game on.
Go Bucks Go!
REMEMBER – don’t bet based upon my recommendations. Do your research. Stay in your lane.